CNN Poll: Nothing to Worry about Conservatives
CNN/Opinion Research is the first pollster to release a poll that is supposed to tell us something about how Americans responded to Obama's speech. If these numbers are right, then conservatives probably don't have very much to worry about.
In a sample of 427 Americans who watched Obama's speech to a joint session of Congress, 67% indicated that they favored Obama's healthcare plan. Prior to the speech, 53% from this same sample indicated that they favored Obama's healthcare plan.
Unfortunately for Obama, this sample is comprised of 45% Democrats, 37% Independents, and 18% Republicans, a sample that even the most partisan of liberal hacks would concede is completely unrepresentative of the American electorate.
Also, this group is likely already favorably predisposed to Obama given that it watched the speech, let alone its willingness to be re-interviewed after the speech.
In what is an ominous sign for Obama, CNN notes:
Those figures are almost identical to a poll conducted immediately after Bill Clinton's health care speech before Congress in September, 1993.
We all know what happened to Clinton's healthcare plan.
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17 comments:
OMG This poll is hilarious. The day I believe a CNN poll is the day I eat a bullet.
45% democrats vs. 18% republicans? LOL
And with a populace that increasingly leans politically to the right.
Also, the similar figures to Clinton is misleading. AFter Clinton's speech 67% approved of his plan and 17% disapproved. After Obama's speech the same 67% approved, but 29% disapproved, and that's with the heavily skewed dem sample, the real figure is likely much higher.
So another accurate headline might be "Despite latest gambit, nearly twice as many Americans oppose Obama's health care plan as did former President Clinton's ill-fated 1993 plan"
I doubt we'll se that one, though.
With a sample size that small, the likely error is +/- 5% . It's too small, too scewed, and too self-selected to be of any value.
Can it be that CNN is turning on Obama?
If you read the poll the comparisons and party break downs, it seems like they are not exactly trying to talk up his speech. They could have just released the numbers without comparisons.
I do a lot of survey research and survey analysis at my job.
This, along with most polls, would be a perfect example of what not to do in survey research. It uses convenience sampling as well as oversampling. When you oversample, you need to weight the data in order to account for this. None of these polls seem to do that.
Oh well, what else is new?
Ya'll get the feeling we "watched" two big "speeches" today?
One "speech" by SP the other by Pres. Obama.
And that SP delivered the goods while Obama didn't?
Ya know why it feels like this? Because the Libs are saying she didn't write her stuff it was too good and The GOP boys are defending her (in their ham handed way, "Well, I don't support the term but I support the idea.)
FYI, the Dinner with Sarah auction is up to $37,700 with 14 bids.
In our first post-speech survey, President Obama is in big trouble with our sample of Brian72s.
Did you feel the President accomplished anything he needed to with this speech tonight?
Yes %0
No %100
Will this Presidential Address do anything to bring the factions together for Health Care Reform?
Yes %0
No %100
Are you more or less likely to support President Obama in his reform effort?
More likely %0
Less likely %0
Hell No %100
Did the President ease any fears you may have had about the potential increase to the deficit?
Yes %0
No %100
After this speech, are you more or less likely to believe anything this President tells you about any programs he may propose in the future?
More Likely %0
Less Likely %0
Snowball's chance in hell %100
In summary, these Brian72s are a strongly opinionated group, as we have learned throughout our surveys this year.
The main concerns are still present, despite the dramatic effort of the President to ease fears and restore reason to this debate.
There was a common write-in on our survey which showed up so often we should share it with our scientific data:
WEE-WEED UP IN DC!
PALIN 2012!
All data provided for this report by
Brian72PersonalPowerPolling LLC
And getting back to that Geoffrey Dunn article that makes the claim that Sarah doesn't pen her own op-eds:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/geoffrey-dunn/palin-no-longer-writing-h_b_280161.html
Click on the link that has 'not' for the link text. Yes, who do we have but scuzzy little Gryphen of Immoral Minority rearing his ugly lying head again. The other links in that article are also to Palin hate sites whose authors are throwing out innuendos and rumors as if they were fact, building on one solitary truth: that Sarah has hired a collaborator for her upcoming book. Oh, that must mean that this collaborator is writing all of Sarah's op-eds now too. That's a bit of a stretch...nay...a hellova a stretch, but gee, what's a little thing like the truth to those people?
sarah may need to give an interview now.
obama took the bait and sarah can't let him get off the hook.
Here's a little midnight Avatar I whipped up in response to Obama calling Sarah a liar. GRRRR!
It's C4P inspired (; so of course the font I chose was...(drumroll please) ....TECHNO!
It's very low resolution, but feel free to send it around.
I lived through Jimmy!...I could not have EVER believe there would be a more Epic Fail than him...
and we have not even hit a 10 month period since he "swore and oath"
The left wanted POTUS to get mean... remember Bill Manure mouth!
OH!... he gritted his teeth and growled when TOTUS told him to... It scaaaared me!
He told Sarah she lied!... OMG!... can you believe it?
@+#oooo
Micheeeelle!....Micheeeelle!.... Did you hear?.... please tell me you heard!... I did!...I did!.... but did the same thing happen at rehearsal? ... wellll!... yessss!... but this time Joe was there... he'sss....sooo!.... niceee!.... to walk close in front of me that way.
Here's a CBS poll: for reform or against it
http://cbs3.com/
Bunny,
You used inappropriate language. That's why I deleted your post.
I didn't realize that Obama gave a veiled criticism to the Irak and Afghanistan wars in his speech just a few days before the 9/11 anniversary.
In a way classifying it as an 'expenditure' and implying that it, along other unpaid expenditures, would not continue under his administration.
I think that was pretty classless (and unpatriotic).
I'm glad Sarah pointed it out.
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