Yes, I'm citing a poll from Hays Research Group
Hays Research Group's poll shows Sarah Palin's positive rating in Alaska at 55% among adults, up eight points from what this pollster showed as Palin's positive rating in late July. My snarkish title is due to the fact that this pollster actually put forward a poll conducted on November 2, 2008 purportedly showing the McCain/Palin ticket leading the Obama/Biden ticket in Alaska by a minuscule margin of 48.3%-44.6%. McCain/Palin ended up winning 59.42% of the vote compared to 37.89% for Obama/Biden in Alaska two days after this poll was conducted. I think it's fair to say Hays was just a little off.
Anyway, this one seems reasonable (even Democracy Corps (D) gets one right once in awhile) considering that recent polls from CNN/Opinion Research Corporation and Fox News/Opinion Dynamics also showed her favorable rating up seven and nine points, respectively, from what they showed for her favorable rating in July.
Sean Parnell also has a very impressive 72% positive rating according to this poll.
Update: Of course Hays Research Group doesn't tell you that according to the NY Times, it's "Democratic-associated Hays Research Group." "Hays Research Group (D)" is how the firm was referenced by pollster.com last election.
For comparison, Scott Rasmussen has Obama's approval rating in his home state of Illinois at 58% (Rasmussen doesn't find much difference between Obama's national approval and favorability rating so that favorite liberal canard won't apply here).
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26 comments:
So judging by the fact that they were 10 pts off in the 2008 election, could they also be 10 pts off on this poll with Sarah's favorability actually at 65%? :) Just kidding! I think though it goes to show that people have "come around" to her resignation, even Alaskans who had more reason to "question" than we did. I know it took me about a month to be OK with her resignation, not that my opinion on the subject really matters.
By the way, that was one of the first time in months that I checked out the ADN. The comments section always makes me shake my head.
Whitney,
It appears that she got to where she was pre-resignation. She was at 46% favorables in the last CNN poll conducted before her resigantion.
Still has a long way to go but it's good to see her back to respectable poll numbers.
yeah i was about to say she prob has higher with likely voters (like 65% with likely voters)
the ADN folks live in a world of 22% at most. lol some of the comments are funny.
these numbers mean she has Restablished herself as a net plus for Parnell when she helps him in 2010.
It doesn't look like Parnell even needs to show up at one debate with Samuels at this point.
He's basically winning all of Palin's 55% with the extra 17% coming from Democrats that probably won't vote for him in a general election. So he's probably going to break Murkowski's mark since there is no strong third-party vote this time around.
tommy whats her negative rating?
41%.
By the way AK, make sure the politico crowd publishes this new data. They and the tool from Political wire pushed this nonsense from Hays last time. it's only right that they publish the poll from the same pollster showing her recovering somewhat.
55/41 is a gain of 15 points
from 46/47
Maybe Ben Smith will report on it like he did last time.
Yeah, what I mean by up eight points is that her favorable number alone is up eight points. It's a gain of 15 points in net favorability.
The poll conducted before the resignation poll showed her at 54/42, so she's back up to where she was pre-resignation in this poll and other polls.
Here's what I could find for comparison:
Pre-resignation:
Fox News: 45/45
CNN: 46/43
NBC/WSJ: 32/38 (lower because of it gives you an option of neutral)
Post-resignation:
Fox News: 38/51
CNN: 39/48
NBC/WSJ: 27/46
Most recent poll:
Fox News: 47/42
CNN: 46/46
NBC/WSJ: 32/40
lets hope she can build on those numbers and not see them fall back down after the book tour wave.
Well, that would be really surprising if they fell back down because her equilibrium level is where she is right now. What caused them to fall initially is the resignation and the book tour seemed to eliminate the negative feelings from the resignation.
It would seem to take another negative event such as the resignation to drop her down again. So I would expect her to maintain these levels until the pollsters change their samples.
Look who posted a comment:
AndreeMcLeod wrote on 12/31/2009 11:26:07 PM:
This is the same Sean Parnell who just stood by and let the McCain campaign highjack the gov's office while his current chief of staff and others worked for the McCain campaign on state time, as emails demonstrate.
This is the same Sean Parnell whose campaign flyer states:
When there are troubled waters, we need a steady hand on the tiller of Government...Sean is that hand!
Where the heck was that hand when AK really needed it on the tiller of Government...when Palin abandoned the gov's office last year to McCain campaign operatives?
It's pretty funny that Hays only publically released this poll in late December during the holidays when it actually conducted the poll in mid-November. If you want to bury something, do it then.
As Alaska goes the rest of the country will follow.
...and hopefully the rest of the world.
I just polled me and my cat again and Sarah is still at 100% positive/favorable rating. Note: This has remained unchanged since August 29, 2008. I know it's unscientific but that's the way we feel :) GO SARAH GO!! PALIN 2012 !!
All right, kids, how did the Echo system get disabled? You all realize that opens up the door for the trolls, righty-right?
By the way, all the other Echo-enabled comments appear to have vanished into the ether. Let's try and get those back. I hate blogger comments. There's no way to monitor them.
Wow. Hey fellas, for a second, I felt we were stuck with the Blogger comments system again and I was going to notify tech support. My Apple couldn't pick up the Echo system. Anyway, try and disregard what Hays says; Alaska is firmly in Parnell's pocket. I can't see Parnell getting a serious primary challenger, nor can I see a Republican incumbent being overturned in what is turning into a GOP wave election.
Hell, we could run Rudolf Hess and win in this environment. It's a complete flip from 2006. Which makes Palin's 2006 Campaign even more remarkable.
Call it getting back to square one.
It's good to see Parnell up there in the approval ratings!! I have a feeling a couple of Govoners are going to need to be "Gandolph Govenors" (10th Amendment) very soon.
I am praying that our "new" governor is one of those, too. I took exception to Mark Steyn the other day when he made fun of our governor-elect asking the DOE to let us start selling leases for oil out off the VA coast. You know he will be rejected, but it is the first step in getting the iron grip of the Feds off our throats on this matter. We need the oil, we need the jobs, we need to get America energy independent.
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