An excellent piece appears in today’s American Thinker. Robert Eugene Simmons Jr. explains exactly how the election will go down if the triumvirate of the Mainstream Media, Democrat Party, and Beltway/Romney Republicans are successful in persuading Governor Palin to stay on the sidelines:
If Sarah Palin doesn’t run for president, the operatives in the media and Beltway establishment will have learned a fool-proof method of destroying any political opponent. If they are allowed to successfully paint a politician as stupid without any facts, merely because they disagree with the “aristocracy,” America will be left with a choice of RINOs or progressive socialists. If that happens then the transformation of America from a libertarian culture to one of socialism and government dependence may very well be irreparable.
Assuming that Sarah Palin doesn’t run the campaign will go sort of like this: the media will talk up the largest RINO they can find in an attempt to split the Republican Party from within. However, the real dirt will be kept securely under wraps. As the Republican primary nears its close, the research effort will go into full force. They will send squads of lawyers to go into every tiny detail of the candidate’s personal and professional life. They will examine every detail of the life of the nominee from the day of their birth. The researchers will talk to every ex-boyfriend or girlfriend, every business partner, and any employees they can find.
After the primary is over, they will start to dump the juiciest tidbits in carefully edited and scripted special stories. National interviews will be granted to jilted lovers and business acquaintances that felt wronged by the candidate, or perhaps could be persuaded to feel wronged with a little interview stipend. The candidate will be mocked for their lack of intelligence and any microscopic mispronunciation or slip of the tongue will result in a weeklong national news cycle about why that candidate is too stupid to be president. The candidate will not have time to counter the perception and, combined with the media adoration of Obama, likely Obama would get another four years.
I disagree slightly with Simmons’ analysis in that I don’t think they’ll wait until the primaries are over. I think they’ll start much sooner if they’re successful in keeping Governor Palin out. If they accomplish that, why wait? But what if they’re unsuccessful? What if Governor Palin thumbs her nose at the Left and their status quo allies in the Republican Establishment and refuses to sit down and shut up? What then? Well, let’s just say they’ll be up a rather large creek with no paddle — not even a life preserver — since they will have fired every weapon in their arsenal and she’ll still be standing, stronger than ever as Simmons explains:
By contrast, if Sarah Palin runs, the media has already shot all of their ammo. They have done everything they can possibly do to destroy her but she has learned how to counter them via Facebook, Twitter, and streaming video. The accusations against Palin and her children have been flying in for two years and have failed to destroy her. All they have left is to repeat the old tired line of “Palin is an idiot.” Of course it wouldn’t take more than a debate or two, nationally televised with live video, to dispel that myth with everyone that can possibly be persuaded. The problem with the media is that all they have left to shoot are lies which can’t stand in the light of day, and even all the plausible lies have been spent by Palin’s opponents. If Palin wins the primary, the leftist media will be left to incoherent rage watched by fewer and fewer Americans.
With a properly run campaign, Palin will be able to easily counter the media perpetuated perception of stupidity with all except those that are so ideologically or emotionally committed as to be unpersuadable.
As these attacks become even more panicked and implausible than they already are (and they will), it will be increasingly clear that those launching them are as vapid as the charges they’re pushing, making Governor Palin essentially immune to this line of attack. Once this occurs the focus will inevitably shift to where it belongs: the issues. It’s this prospect that Obama and his surrogates in the mainstream media fear most, and explains more than anything else why they’ve endeavored to avoid actual issues in favor of pursuing really “important” projects like digging through Governor Palin’s emails. The last thing Team Obama wants is a spotlight on them and how they’ve handled the economy, energy independence, Obamacare, fiscal responsibility, and everything else they’ve mucked up. A Republican candidate who can directly and, more importantly, credibly engage Obama on all of these issues is their worst nightmare. Simmons makes this very point:
Furthermore, on the issues Palin will be able to bring all guns blazing against Obama rather than being handicapped by prior records of endorsing government-mandated healthcare or global warming hysteria. On the issues, Palin’s conservatism combined with her small-government libertarianism will make a stark contrast to Obama who will now be forced to defend his policies rather than run on emotion ad-hominem attacks and catchy phrases.
Read Simmons’ entire piece here.