In a poll of Michigan Republicans taken Feb. 26, Public Policy Polling (PPP) found that 16 percent of Republican primary voters will have already voted before Tuesday. Of that 16 percent, a large majority say they voted for Romney: 62 percent, versus 29 percent for Rick Santorum.
How do those numbers play out as actual votes? Four years ago, 869,000 people voted in Michigan’s Republican presidential primary. If the same number turn out this time, that’s 139,000 absentee votes. If you take 62 percent of that, that’s 86,204 votes already in the Romney column, versus 40,321 votes for Santorum.