Washington Post: A ‘mama grizzly’ upset is possible in Nebraska

A good article by Chris Cillizza was put out yesterday in the Washington Post which discusses the power of a Palin-endorsement to derail the establishment:

“Nebraska Attorney General Jon Bruning (R) has been the favorite from the start to succeed retiring Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.), but his hold on that mantle has always been tenuous.

First, state Treasurer Don Stenberg nabbed the backing of the influential Club for Growth and Sen. Jim DeMint’s (R-S.C.) Senate Conservatives Fund. Then, former senator Bob Kerrey got in the race and gave Democrats a fighting chance.

But with just five days until the GOP primary, neither Stenberg nor Kerrey is looking like Bruning’s biggest obstacle. Instead, the until-now-dark-horse candidate in the race, state Sen. Deb Fischer, has asserted herself and — according to politicos in Nebraska — has a fighting chance to usurp Bruning on Tuesday.

Fischer, 61, is an eight-year state senator and product of a ranching family whose father served in Gov. Kay Orr’s (R) Cabinet (more on her bio here). Through late April, she had raised less than $400,000 for her campaign, while Bruning and Stenberg have either spent millions (Bruning) or had millions spent by outside groups on their behalf (Stenberg).

Fischer made perhaps her biggest splash of the campaign Wednesday, announcing the backing of Sarah and Todd Palin. A few days prior, her campaign released a poll showing her within a few points of Bruning, trailing 30 percent to 26 percent, with Stenberg at 18 percent.

One Republican consultant who supports Stenberg says the efforts to boost him have largely failed, and he has slipped into third place, but that the anti-Bruning campaign spearheaded by the Club for Growth has successfully brought down Bruning’s numbers, forced Bruning and Stenberg to battle, and Fischer has shot the gap.

The Club and the Senate Conservatives Fund have combined to spend more than $2 million on the race, with the Club opposing Bruning and the SCF propping up Stenberg.

After previously running ads against Stenberg, Bruning’s campaign is now up with an ad targeting both of his top opponents — a sign of Fischer’s momentum.

“…Deb Fischer is picking up the pieces that are falling from Bruning’s campaign,” said the Stenberg supporter.

Bruning’s campaign is dubious that Fischer has a shot. It argues that Fischer’s polling has over-sampled the Lincoln media market, which is the only market where Fischer’s meagerly funded campaign is up with ads on broadcast TV.

The Fischer poll is the only poll to show anybody within double digits of Bruning, and there has been a dearth of polling in the race.

Bruning has suffered from being the establishment candidate and his more liberal positions from his college days have long dogged him. But he has also taken care to cover his right flank. To date, he has earned the backing of the Tea Party Express, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum.”

You can read the whole article here.

I don’t mean to nag.  But the establishment is going to spend everything it has to destroy Deb Fischer in the final days of this contest before Tuesday.  Thomas Schmitz of AGU has posted an amazing piece including links to efforts for financial support or volunteering for the Fischer campaign. 

Let’s get ‘er done for the Gov!!!!!!!!!



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