Scarborough immediately interrupted Rattner’s analysis, and shifted the explanation of Trump’s Iowa breakout toward the questions Trump has been raising about the ‘issue’ of Ted’s citizenship. NBC’s Chuck Todd was all too quick to giddily agree.
Rattner drew another line on his chart to appease Scarborough, but misplaced the time-frame of when Trump first began to question Ted’s eligibility.
Trump has been casting doubts regarding Cruz’s eligibility on a daily basis, going back to at least January 7th, if not further.
The red line shown here is a far more accurate reflection than Rattner’s blue line of when Trump’s birthright attacks began in earnst.
While Trump’s questions regarding Cruz’s eligibility likely had some influence in the first few days, the effect began to wane, going mostly flat in the week leading up to January 19th when Palin offered her endorsement of Donald Trump.
From the 19th on, we can see a sustained spike in Iowa voters affections for Trump, and a sharp decrease in support for Ted Cruz.