MJ Sheppard | August 18th, 2017
The mainstream media’s endless anti-Trump crusade is not just against Trump’s current term in office, as the reality is he can’t be “defeated” barring impeachment, for which presently there is no sane reason to imagine exists.
The Democratic party, for now a politically powerless bystander, is using its media allies to fight its future battles. The ultimate aim is to disillusion the 2016 Trump voters in the erstwhile “Democratic blue wall” in upcoming elections. The real world political fight as far as the presidency is concerned is in the Electoral College battleground states. The stark truth is that the vast majority of states will nearly always vote the same way in the next election. Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and of course Florida will decide the presidency in 2020.
In 2016 Donald Trump won them all and if the forces that brought him those wins continue, then the Democratic Party is in dire straights. Trump’s opponents complain that “he only won by small margins in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin”, disregarding the massive deficit he had to make up to win those states. Furthermore, it is the trends going forward that matter.
If the huge mountain Trump climbed in 2016 marked a permanent shift in voter allegiances in those battleground states, it may well be that his margins were a base which will be added upon, ensuring that those states will move to purple, if not red. This is predicated on a number of factors.
It is clear that depressed African American turn out in Michigan, and to a lesser extent in Wisconsin cost Clinton both states.This could signal a return to the pre-Obama election norm, or more dangerous for the Dem’s, a further shift in Black support toward the GOP. Trump did better than Romney did in 2012 with the Black voter block. If economic prospects for unemployed Black Americans (which is currently at an all time high) improve, so will Republican prospects in 2018 and 2020. Trump is of course quite correct in stating that a major cure for racism is jobs, which is why he is being pilloried by the fearful Dem’s.
More worrying for the Dem’s is that in Pennsylvania, the Black turnout in crucial Philadelphia was actually as good as President Obama’s in 2012. This is the crucial element behind the MSM’s attacks on Trump. White voter turnout in Pennsylvania in 2016, especially in the rural areas was massive. Hillary’s statewide vote total was down only 64,000 from 2012, but Trump’s 2016 total was up a colossal 290,000 votes, giving Trump a 46,000 vote win in the Keystone State..
The GOP can afford to lose both Wisconsin and Michigan but by holding Pennsylvania, and of course Florida, could still win comfortably in the Electoral College in 2020. If the rust belt held in its entirety, and demographics put Florida out of reach, the GOP would still win.
These electoral facts explain the seemingly ridiculous “Russiagate” fantasies which appear to have miraculously vanished, replaced by preposterous charges of “racism” against Trump. The media refuses to credit his administration with any positive results as the economy picks up steam. The stock market has climbed to new heights, and industry looks to relocate manufacturing jobs back to the USA. Mainstream media ignores these economic gains, and focuses almost exclusively upon internal administration personality conflicts, dwelling on changes of White House personnel as if it were crucial to real folks lives and concerns.
The anti-Trump media onslaught is meant to act as a bandage for the Democratic party’s utter lack of leadership, policy and constructive activity. The result is neither here nor there, as was demonstrated by Democrat losses in this years special elections, especially in Georgia. The Dem’s do not have to do anything to win the presidency in 2020 if the GOP base who turned out in exceptional numbers get disheartened and stays home, as they did for Romney and McCain.
After nine months of media attacks against Trump, his base of support remains steadfast. Attendance at Trump’s rallies overflows the capacity of the largest available venues. Plain folks wait in line for hours.to attend. This is remains a source of amazement to the few intrepid DC journalists who venture out to to flyover country, still having not learned the lessons of 2016. The touted media ‘polls’, heavily weighted with an overabundance of Democrat voters, still average around 40% for Trump, which is where he was (actually slightly better) on election day last November.
As things stand, the Democrats have nothing to offer voters except endless opposition, and their only hope is that the same media who utterly failed them in 2016, will somehow succeed in disheartening Trump voters in upcoming elections. It is a fruitless strategy that only serves to alienate the general public from the media elites. A dislike only matched by the contempt the media holds for the general public.
If the Democratic party fails in the 2018 mid-terms, they will face profound difficulties. Only a massive introspection where they consider discarding their current media tactics will prevent them from being banished to the coastal states on a permanent basis.